Category: Historical Analysis

  • Which Country has the Best Stock Market?

    After my post on ex-US stock asset classes, I started to wonder if there are particular specific countries that have attractive stock market. Finding the historical returns of many different country stock markets would have been a tedious task; but thankfully the team at Credit Suisse does a summary of world equities every year in…

  • Solving the Great Diversification Debate: Gold, Commodities, Treasuries or REITs

    For a portfolio compromised of mostly stocks and bonds, which asset provides the greatest diversification benefits? In this post we’ll quantify the diversification benefits that gold, commodities, long term treasuries, and REITs provide to a portfolio of mostly stocks and bonds. Annual data will be reviewed going back to 1972 and daily data is also…

  • Historical Analysis of Bond Investment Returns Performance

    How efficient is the bond market?  We’ve found inefficiencies within US sectors, size/style, and international stocks.  Do similar inefficiencies exist in the bond market? One would belief that fixed income should be easier to accurately predict returns and thus the bond/fixed-income market should be relatively efficient.  In this post we’ll put this assumption to the…

  • Emerging Market and Small Cap Outperformance: Historical Comparison of International Equities

    Are there any international equity asset classes that have historically offered better risk/reward characteristics?  We found in US stocks that midcap value has been a very attractive investment in the long run, are there similar asset classes outside of the US? Turns out there are two: international (ex-US) small cap stocks, and emerging market stocks.…

  • 6 Reasons The Mid-Cap Value Index is Constructed to Outperform

    Everyone has heard of the investment adage to “buy low, and sell high.” But it’s very difficult to execute in practice.  But the mid-cap value index buys low and sells high automatically for its investor. In this blog I’ll explain why this area of the equity market is so proficient.  But I won’t stop at some simple…

  • Historical Performance of US Equity Sectors

    Should stock sectors be created equally?  Are there some that consistently outperform and some that consistently underperform? After my post on the historical performance (and outperformance) of different US stock style boxes I set out to see if a similar phenomena occurs with US stock sectors. Surely the least risky sector won’t also offer the highest…

  • Mid-Cap Value Outperformance: Consistently Beating the S&P 500

    What area of the market offers the best risk-adjusted returns?  Is there a better index to passively invest in and track than the S&P 500? I’ve always assumed there to be a risk/return relationship between market indexes; but when I began diving a little deeper into the historical data it quickly became apparent that there…

  • Historical Risk versus Return of Stocks and Bonds

    Stocks are risky but they generate high returns.  Bonds are safer but they offer proportionally less returns.  Investors may think that combining these asset classes in a portfolio linearly scales risk versus return.  For the most part this is true; but due to a lack of correlation between these assets, combining them in a portfolio can actually…